Residual

nounStandard termStatistics

Difference between an observed value and the value a fitted model predicts for it.

A residual is what the model failed to explain for one data point: observed minus fitted. Plotting residuals is the main check on any regression or ANOVA. Against fitted values they should form a shapeless band; a funnel means variance grows with the mean, and a curve means a missing term. Against run order they should show no trend, and on a normal probability plot they should fall near a straight line.

Heard on the job

Residuals fan out above 300 nm, so the error isn't constant. Try a log transform before you trust those p-values.

Insider tip

Always plot residuals against run order: a slope there means drift during the experiment, not a factor effect.

Also heard as

  • residuals
  • residual error