Power

nounStandard termStatistics

Probability that a test will detect a real effect of a given size, set by sample size, noise and alpha.

Power is 1 minus beta, where beta is the Type II error rate, the chance of missing an effect that is really there. It rises with sample size, effect size and alpha, and falls as noise grows. Studies are usually sized for 80 or 90 percent power to detect the smallest difference that matters; detecting a 1 sigma difference between two means at alpha 0.05 with 90 percent power takes about 22 units per group.

Heard on the job

Four wafers per leg gives you maybe 30 percent power for a 1 nm shift. Either add wafers or don't bother running it.

Insider tip

A non-significant result from a low-power study means the test could not tell, not that there is no effect. Size the experiment before running it.

Also heard as

  • statistical power