Chasing the mean

phraseShop talkStatistics

Shop phrase for adjusting a process after each reading to pull it back to target, which only adds variation.

Chasing the mean is what the floor calls tampering: every reading above target gets a knob turn down, every reading below gets a turn up, and the process starts oscillating around target with a wider spread than before. It often comes from a well-meant instruction to keep it centered with no control chart to say when a move is justified. A run-to-run controller with too much gain does the same thing automatically.

Heard on the job

Day shift is chasing the mean on the coater, half the lots have a manual offset. Take the override away and let the chart decide.

Insider tip

A zigzag pattern that alternates above and below center, point after point, is the fingerprint of someone chasing the mean.

Also heard as

  • knob-turning
  • chasing the process
  • chasing the target