Law of propagation of uncertainty

nounStandard termMetrology

The first-order formula that combines input standard uncertainties, weighted by sensitivity coefficients, into the output uncertainty.

The rule that the variance of the output equals the sum of each input's squared sensitivity coefficient times its squared standard uncertainty, plus, for every correlated pair, twice the product of their two sensitivity coefficients and their covariance. It rests on a first-order Taylor expansion of the measurement model, so it works well when the model is close to linear over the span of the input uncertainties. When the model is strongly nonlinear or one non-normal input dominates, labs switch to the Monte Carlo method.

Heard on the job

The law of propagation falls apart here because the denominator sits near zero, run it through Monte Carlo instead.

Also heard as

  • LPU
  • uncertainty propagation
  • GUM uncertainty framework